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Drew Lock

Drew Lock TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Drew Lock TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-250/+200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
  • The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Giants have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Giants to be the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.4% pass rate.
  • Drew Lock has attempted a mere 14.3 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.
  • With a poor 61.5% Adjusted Completion% (25th percentile) since the start of last season, Drew Lock stands as one of the least on-target passers in football.

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