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Drew Lock

Drew Lock Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

Drew Lock Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.5 plays per game.

After making up 5.0% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Drew Lock has played a bigger part in the running game this season, now accounting for 12.3%.

With an impressive total of 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (86th percentile), Drew Lock places as one of the top running QBs in the league this year.

Drew Lock's ground efficiency (11.29 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (98th percentile among QBs).

With an impressive rate of 2.11 yards-after-contact (78th percentile), Drew Lock rates among the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Giants are a heavy 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Giants to run on 38.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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