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Drew Lock

Drew Lock Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Drew Lock Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Giants to be the 7th-most run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 42.6% run rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Giants have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 60.5 plays per game.
  • While Drew Lock has received 4.5% of his team's run game usage in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in New York's ground game in this week's game at 11.8%.
  • This year, the weak Dallas Cowboys run defense has allowed a monstrous 154.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
  • The Giants are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Drew Lock has averaged a measly 0.8 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the lowest rates in the NFL when it comes to QBs (10th percentile).
  • With an awful tally of 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (22nd percentile), Drew Lock places among the bottom rushing QBs in the league since the start of last season.

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