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Drew Lock

Drew Lock Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Drew Lock Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 199.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 199.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Drew Lock this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Giants being a massive -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 134.4 total plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Giants this year (a staggering 59.9 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Drew Lock's 51.6% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a meaningful regression in his passing precision over last year's 63.9% rate.

Drew Lock's 4.88 adjusted yards-per-target this year represents a significant decline in his passing efficiency over last year's 7.1% figure.

The Indianapolis Colts cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

More Drew Lock Player Props

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