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Drew Lock

Drew Lock Carries
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Drew Lock Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 134.4 total plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.

The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Giants this year (a staggering 59.9 per game on average).

After making up 5.0% of his team's carries last year, Drew Lock has been called on more in the ground game this year, now accounting for 10.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New York Giants will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Drew Lock this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Giants being a massive -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

In this contest, Drew Lock is predicted by the predictive model to earn the 11th-fewest carries among all QBs with 3.1.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's DT corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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