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Drake Maye

Drake Maye TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Drake Maye TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.
  • The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Raiders defense has been gouged for the 5th-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.71 per game last year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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