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The Patriots boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.8% run rate.Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.The Steelers defense has had the 6th-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, allowing just 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
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