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Drake Maye

Drake Maye Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Drake Maye Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 256.5 (-111/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 249.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 256.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the weak Cincinnati Bengals defense has allowed a massive 270.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 3rd-most in football.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has displayed weak efficiency this year, conceding 8.78 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

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