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Drake Maye Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Drake Maye Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 232.5 (-110/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 241.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 232.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

This year, the feeble Jets defense has been torched for the 10th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a whopping 7.82 yards.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, New York's safety corps has been lousy this year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Patriots being a huge 12.5-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 4th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Patriots.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.6 per game) this year.

This year, the stout New York Jets defense has surrendered a meager 213.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 10th-best in the NFL.

More Drake Maye Player Props

Drake Maye Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Drake Maye Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11