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Drake Maye Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Drake Maye Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 214.5 (-117/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 214.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 214.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Patriots offensive strategy to tilt 2.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots to run the 10th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Raiders defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 9th-most in the league.

The Las Vegas Raiders cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Last year, the tough Raiders defense has given up a paltry 210.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 10th-best in football.

More Drake Maye Player Props

Drake Maye Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 1

New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders

Drake Maye Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1