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Drake Maye

Drake Maye Interceptions
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Drake Maye Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's LB corps has been terrible this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Cincinnati's defense ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year when it comes to making interceptions, totaling 0.90 per game.

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