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Drake Maye

Drake Maye Carries
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Drake Maye Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 45.9% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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