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Drake London

Drake London Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.
  • Drake London has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 26.3% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile among WRs.
  • Drake London's 72.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 97th percentile for WRs.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Drake London has compiled far fewer air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).

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