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Drake London

Drake London Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.8 plays per game.
  • While Drake London has accounted for 27.8% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Atlanta's passing attack near the end zone in this contest at 34.1%.
  • Drake London ranks in the 97th percentile among WR WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 76.4 mark this year.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 53.4% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
  • Drake London has put up quite a few less air yards this season (93.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.3%) versus wide receivers this year (61.3%).

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