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Drake London

Drake London Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Drake London Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • While Drake London has garnered 22.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Atlanta's offense near the goal line in this week's game at 33.0%.
  • Drake London has put up a staggering 96.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among WRs.
  • Since the start of last season, the shaky Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a whopping 1.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing wideouts: the 10th-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's unit has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 54.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 5th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 48.0% red zone run rate.
  • The Falcons offense has played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.43 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Drake London's 58.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 74.7.

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