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This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 4.5 points.The model projects the Falcons as the 4th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The predictive model expects the Falcons to be the 5th-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 48.3% red zone run rate.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see just 121.5 plays on offense run: the lowest number on the slate this week.The Falcons have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather in this game.
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