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Drake London

Drake London Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Drake London Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+114/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Drake London has accrued a monstrous 100.0 air yards per game this year: 92nd percentile among wideouts.
  • Drake London places in the 98th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a superb 75.6 figure this year.
  • The Falcons O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • With a terrific rate of 0.67 per game through the air (97th percentile), Drake London stands among the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their plays: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 6th-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.7% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect the Falcons to call the 9th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The projections expect Drake London to be a less important option in his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this week's contest (33.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (41.4% in games he has played).

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