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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+108/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Drake London to accrue 9.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Drake London's 72.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 97th percentile for WRs.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, New England's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 9th-best in football.

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