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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs Buffalo Bills

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.

The Falcons have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.8 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

In this game, Drake London is expected by the model to place in the 99th percentile among WRs with 10.0 targets.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the least pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are projected by the projection model to call only 61.9 total plays in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

Drake London's 65.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 74.7.

Drake London's pass-catching performance diminished this year, notching just 4.6 adjusted catches vs 5.8 last year.

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