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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
  • The leading projections forecast Drake London to notch 8.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Washington Commanders cornerbacks project as the worst CB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Falcons to pass on 54.4% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Falcons offense has played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 29.43 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, averaging the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.6 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Drake London's 25.5% Target Share this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his air attack usage over last year's 30.9% figure.
  • Drake London's receiving talent has diminished this season, notching a mere 3.8 adjusted receptions vs 5.8 last season.

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