Drake London Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 9:07 PM EST

Analysis

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+112/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 135.3 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) generally lead to increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.
The predictive model expects Drake London to earn 10.2 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Drake London has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 32.2% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among WRs.
The Atlanta O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The model projects the Falcons to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

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