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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Atlanta Falcons last year (a whopping 59.2 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) last year.

In this week's contest, Drake London is anticipated by the projections to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 9.2 targets.

Drake London has been a key part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 30.9% last year, which places him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Falcons to be the least pass-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 56.9% pass rate.

The model projects the Falcons to run the 6th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Tampa Bay's CB corps has been excellent last year, profiling as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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