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Drake London

Drake London Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect Drake London to accrue 8.1 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Drake London's 28.7% Target Share this season indicates an impressive growth in his pass attack utilization over last season's 23.3% rate.
  • Drake London's 5.5 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.3 figure.
  • Drake London's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 64.6% to 68.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Washington Commanders, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Washington's LB corps has been excellent this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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