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Drake London

Drake London Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Falcons are a 5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.0 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Drake London to accrue 9.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Drake London's 72.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 97th percentile for WRs.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in football (57.8% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Atlanta Falcons.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Falcons are forecasted by the projection model to call just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • Drake London has compiled far fewer air yards this season (92.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).
  • Drake London has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (80.0).
  • Drake London's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching just 7.94 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.11 rate last year.

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