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Drake London

Drake London Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-105/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Our trusted projections expect Drake London to total 9.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile among WRs.
  • Drake London has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 30.2% this year, which places him in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 55.6% pass rate.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • After averaging 102.0 air yards per game last year, Drake London has gotten worse this year, currently sitting at 94.0 per game.
  • Drake London's 70.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season signifies an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 80.0 mark.

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