Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Drake London

NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
The leading projections forecast Drake London to notch 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Drake London has been an integral part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 27.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.
Drake London's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 62.6% to 56.4%.
Drake London has been among the weakest WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging just 0.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 10th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.8%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.8%).

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