Drake London Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Drake London

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Drake London Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to total 7.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile among WRs.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has struggled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.26 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in football.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run on the slate this week at 118.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 59.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Drake London to be a much smaller part of his team's passing game this week (27.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (32.1% in games he has played).
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.