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Dorian Thompson-Robinson

Dorian Thompson-Robinson Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Dorian Thompson-Robinson Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 159.5 (+108/-141).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 171.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 159.5 @ -141.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be starting backup QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson.
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Browns to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 62.2% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.9 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 20-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Browns grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year.
  • This year, the formidable Miami Dolphins defense has yielded a mere 224.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing QBs: the 10th-fewest in football.

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