D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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D'Onta Foreman

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 2:36 PM EST

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
D'Onta Foreman has picked up 56.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (79th percentile).
D'Onta Foreman has been among the top RBs in the league at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.27 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 77th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (18.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (41.6% in games he has played).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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