D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

D'Onta Foreman

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Onta Foreman Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-101/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ben McAdoo, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 6.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 2nd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects D'Onta Foreman to garner 17.1 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
D'Onta Foreman has been given 43.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in run blocking.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers will be forced to start backup QB Sam Darnold in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.74 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 53.9 plays per game.
The Carolina Panthers have been faced with a stacked the box on 19.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.