Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per snap.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving talent has gotten better this year, compiling 3.9 yards per game vs a mere 2.7 last year.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.4% to 67.9%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying in the game for 89.7% of snaps compared to just 78.4% last season.
The Washington Commanders safeties rank as the best group of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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