Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's pass-catching performance gotten better this season, averaging 4.2 yards per game compared to a mere 2.7 last season.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.4% to 69.2%.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.3%) versus WRs this year (70.3%).

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 89.9% of snaps compared to just 78.4% last season.

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