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Donovan Peoples-Jones

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Donovan Peoples-Jones to notch 6.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

Donovan Peoples-Jones's 48.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 40.3.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 56.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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