Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+160/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has run a route on 83.4% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Completion% in football (71.1%) to wideouts since the start of last season (71.1%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing just 60.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile among WRs
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 7th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.