Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Nov 1, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-380).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +295 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +280.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has put up a whopping 68.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among wide receivers.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Donovan Peoples-Jones ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has conceded the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to wideouts: 0.43 per game this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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