Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Donovan Peoples-Jones

NFL · Player Props

Donovan Peoples-Jones

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving TD

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Peoples-Jones Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+234/-370).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -310 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -370.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
Donovan Peoples-Jones has compiled many more air yards this year (83.0 per game) than he did last year (70.0 per game).
Donovan Peoples-Jones's 49.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 77th percentile for wideouts.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Donovan Peoples-Jones's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 60.4% to 69.2%.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Donovan Peoples-Jones grades out in the 20th percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.08 per game.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered the 7th-least TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 0.77 per game this year.

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