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Donald Parham

Donald Parham Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Donald Parham Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -192 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -222.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers may rely on the pass game less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup quarterback Easton Stick.
  • This week's line indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are huge -12.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 62.5% of their chances: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Donald Parham's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.6% to 66.2%.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the 9th-best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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