Donald Parham Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Donald Parham

NFL · Player Props

Donald Parham

TE · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 1:21 AM EST

Analysis

Donald Parham Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 66.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Donald Parham has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, playing on just 25.1% of snaps compared to 36.7% last year.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 8th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 40.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has displayed good efficiency against tight ends this year, conceding 7.08 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in football.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties grade out as the 6th-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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