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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +144.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 20.0% Red Zone Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, DK Metcalf places as one of the wideouts with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.
  • DK Metcalf's 58.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 84th percentile for WRs.
  • DK Metcalf's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 60.2% to 64.2%.
  • DK Metcalf ranks in the 96th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.60 per game.
  • This year, the feeble Browns defense has given up a colossal 1.40 receiving TDs per game to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (46.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers this year (only 48.8 per game on average).

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