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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+205/-260).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +225 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +205.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Steelers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 133.8 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • DK Metcalf ranks in the 90th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 63.6 mark this year.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
  • DK Metcalf, who has earned 1.4% of his offense's rush attempts near the goal line this year (92nd percentile), is in the unique position (for a WR) of being involved in the Pittsburgh red zone running game.
  • DK Metcalf has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (74.0 per game) than he did last season (99.0 per game).
  • DK Metcalf has run for 0.06 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in the league when it comes to wide receivers and tight ends (95th percentile).
  • This year, the stout Houston Texans defense has surrendered a feeble 56.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the smallest rate in the NFL.

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