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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+198/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -230.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Steelers being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • DK Metcalf rates in the 86th percentile among wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) with a monstrous 61.0 mark this year.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run just 64.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (just 51.1 per game on average).
  • DK Metcalf, who has been given 2.0% of his offense's rush attempts near the goal line this year (94th percentile), is in the unique position (for a wide receiver) of being involved in the Steelers red zone ground game.
  • After totaling 99.0 air yards per game last season, DK Metcalf has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 68.0 per game.
  • DK Metcalf has rushed for 0.08 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football when it comes to WRs and TEs (92nd percentile).

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