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DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

DK Metcalf Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+168/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -215.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.

The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

With an exceptional 20.5% Red Zone Target Share (82nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.

DK Metcalf's 63.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 88th percentile for wideouts.

With an exceptional rate of 0.45 per game through the air (91st percentile), DK Metcalf places among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football among wide receivers this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

After accumulating 99.0 air yards per game last year, DK Metcalf has produced significantly fewer this year, now pacing 75.0 per game.

With a lackluster 58.5% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

DK Metcalf TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12