DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

DK Metcalf Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

With an exceptional 20.5% Red Zone Target Share (82nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the goal line in the league.

DK Metcalf's 63.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 88th percentile for wideouts.

With an exceptional rate of 0.45 per game through the air (91st percentile), DK Metcalf places among the best receiving touchdown-scorers in football among wide receivers this year.

This year, the poor Bears defense has been gouged for a massive 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.

After accumulating 99.0 air yards per game last year, DK Metcalf has produced significantly fewer this year, now pacing 75.0 per game.

With a lackluster 58.5% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

DK Metcalf TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12