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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a remarkable 23.1% Red Zone Target% (87th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf stands among the WRs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
  • DK Metcalf places in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) with a superb 61.1 mark this year.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • DK Metcalf grades out in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.50 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.
  • The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • DK Metcalf has posted far fewer air yards this season (74.0 per game) than he did last season (99.0 per game).
  • With a poor 58.0% Adjusted Completion% (23rd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the most unreliable receivers in football among WRs.

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