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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-131/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Our trusted projections expect DK Metcalf to accrue 8.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • DK Metcalf's 68.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 61.0.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's collection of LBs has been lousy this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • DK Metcalf's 3.1 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a substantial reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.3 figure.

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