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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an elite 93.1% Route% (91st percentile) this year, DK Metcalf ranks as one of the WRs with the highest volume in the league.
  • The predictive model expects DK Metcalf to accrue 7.3 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • DK Metcalf's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 60.2% to 64.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers this year (only 48.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

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