My Account Log Out

reorder

DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-111/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +107 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

DK Metcalf has run a route on 92.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to WRs.

The model projects DK Metcalf to garner 7.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

DK Metcalf comes in as one of the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

The New England Patriots pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.9%) versus WRs since the start of last season (67.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.10 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-most sluggish in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

DK Metcalf's 53.3% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a significant regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 60.2% mark.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™