reorder

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -157 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect DK Metcalf to earn 8.4 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

DK Metcalf's 63.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 90th percentile for WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.

The Houston Texans pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (55.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (55.9%).

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston's collection of CBs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

DK Metcalf ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 19