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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-146/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.96 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-fastest in football (adjusted for context) at the present time.
  • With a top-tier 93.2% Route Participation Rate (92nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf has been among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • In this contest, DK Metcalf is expected by the predictive model to position himself in the 83rd percentile among WRs with 7.4 targets.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.3 per game) this year.

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