DK Metcalf Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

My Account Log Out

reorder

DK Metcalf

NFL · Player Props

DK Metcalf

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2025

Updated Nov 23, 2025 8:42 PM EST

Analysis

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers may pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
The predictive model expects the Steelers to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
With a remarkable 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
In this week's game, DK Metcalf is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.4 targets.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Chicago's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
With a lackluster 58.5% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

More DK Metcalf Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow