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DK Metcalf

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-133/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • With a remarkable 94.1% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, DK Metcalf ranks among the wide receivers with the most usage in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, DK Metcalf is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.7 targets.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Chicago's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • With a lackluster 58.5% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to WRs.

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