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DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

DK Metcalf Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+124/-159).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -159.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

DK Metcalf has run a route on 93.4% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

In this week's game, DK Metcalf is expected by our trusted projection set to finish in the 86th percentile among wide receivers with 7.4 targets.

When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed a whopping 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a lowly 50.2 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) typically lead to lessened passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.

DK Metcalf's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this season marks an impressive drop-off in his receiving skills over last season's 4.3 mark.

With a poor 58.0% Adjusted Completion% (23rd percentile) this year, DK Metcalf rates among the most unreliable receivers in football among WRs.

More DK Metcalf Player Props

DK Metcalf ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

DK Metcalf Receptions
Player Prop Week 11